Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/11 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +40.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 26% | 24% | 23% | 27% | -2.4 | -19.0 | +21.2 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 23% | 14% | 39% | 24% | +0.8 | -9.2 | +3.5 | +4.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 9% | 43% | 27% | +0.1 | -3.8 | -4.7 | +8.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 7% | 38% | 34% | +40.9 | -6.4 | -11.2 | -23.3 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 59% | 5% | 22% | 14% | -14.6 | +34.0 | -4.7 | -14.7 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 6,000 | 47% | 19% | 24% | 10% | -7.8 | +20.2 | -6.9 | -5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 37% | 34% | 20% | 9% | +6.4 | -32.2 | -2.4 | +28.1 |
| South 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 11% | 19% | 23% | +30.1 | -9.5 | -15.9 | -4.8 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Rio Tojyo | 89% | 1% | 1% | 10% | +2.1 | -14.3 | +24.7 | -12.5 |