Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/11 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +41.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -3.7 | -21.6 | +23.1 | +2.3 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 22% | 12% | 41% | 25% | +1.5 | -6.3 | -0.8 | +5.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 22% | 9% | 40% | 29% | -1.3 | -3.0 | -2.2 | +6.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 9% | 38% | 32% | +41.8 | -8.2 | -9.1 | -24.5 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 59% | 4% | 24% | 13% | -14.3 | +33.4 | -8.1 | -10.9 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 6,000 | 47% | 18% | 23% | 11% | -9.1 | +21.8 | -7.2 | -5.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 36% | 36% | 19% | 9% | +7.5 | -33.2 | -0.1 | +25.9 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 12% | 19% | 22% | +29.9 | -8.7 | -16.8 | -4.3 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Tojyo Rio | 89% | 1% | 1% | 9% | +2.1 | -14.9 | +24.8 | -12.1 |