Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/13 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+73.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +44.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 6,000 | 28% | 25% | 23% | 23% | +15.5 | -9.0 | -4.6 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu | 38% | 20% | 21% | 22% | -6.9 | -0.1 | -0.6 | +7.5 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka | 33% | 20% | 20% | 27% | -1.9 | -4.9 | -5.2 | +12.0 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 15% | 17% | 37% | -12.6 | -12.8 | +34.1 | -8.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 9% | 42% | 29% | -5.0 | -1.6 | -16.3 | +22.9 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 17% | 8% | 25% | 50% | +21.2 | -18.4 | +1.2 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 28% | 3% | 25% | 43% | -27.2 | -0.5 | +25.5 | +2.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 8% | 2% | 48% | 43% | -0.9 | +3.8 | -2.2 | -0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 6,400 | 8% | 4% | 46% | 42% | +22.4 | -11.2 | -4.8 | -6.4 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 23% | 0% | 40% | 37% | -17.7 | -6.6 | +44.2 | -19.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 94% | 6% | +2.6 | -1.2 | -3.0 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -8.5 | -0.5 | +7.1 | +2.0 |