Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/14 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+66.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +29.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,800 from Ooi Takaharu | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +15.9 | +2.8 | -1.7 | -17.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 37% | 25% | 24% | 15% | -4.0 | -2.8 | +6.4 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 34% | 23% | 27% | 16% | +1.8 | -7.0 | -1.5 | +6.6 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 35% | 17% | 28% | 19% | -5.1 | -14.0 | -3.0 | +22.0 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Kondo Seiichi | 31% | 12% | 24% | 33% | +3.1 | -1.1 | -18.3 | +16.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 31% | 9% | 12% | 47% | -4.2 | -0.5 | -24.9 | +29.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 5% | 2% | 76% | -8.3 | -4.6 | -7.0 | +20.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 6% | 1% | 1% | 92% | -2.4 | +4.9 | -1.6 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 2% | 1% | 94% | +24.3 | -9.3 | -6.4 | -8.6 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 1% | 0% | 83% | -14.8 | +23.3 | -8.0 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 6% | 4% | 0% | 89% | -1.4 | +5.6 | -3.0 | -1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 7% | 0% | 88% | -0.9 | -10.6 | +9.5 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 4% | 1% | 0% | 95% | -1.1 | +3.8 | -3.9 | +1.2 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -17.6 | +23.5 | -1.3 | -4.6 |