Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/14 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+66.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +29.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 5,800 from Takaharu Ooi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +15.7 | -0.1 | -1.2 | -14.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 25% | 24% | 15% | -2.6 | -3.0 | +5.5 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 23% | 27% | 16% | -0.6 | -4.1 | -1.1 | +5.8 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 34% | 19% | 27% | 20% | -1.9 | -16.5 | -1.6 | +20.0 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Seiichi Kondo | 32% | 12% | 24% | 33% | -0.5 | +0.5 | -20.5 | +20.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 28% | 11% | 11% | 50% | -4.2 | -1.1 | -24.4 | +29.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 5% | 2% | 80% | -8.4 | -5.5 | -4.8 | +18.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 1% | 1% | 94% | -0.4 | +4.4 | -2.4 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 95% | +25.5 | -8.0 | -7.1 | -10.4 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 2% | 0% | 81% | -16.1 | +23.6 | -7.6 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 7% | 5% | 0% | 88% | -0.2 | +4.2 | -2.8 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 6% | 0% | 86% | -2.0 | -10.7 | +10.1 | +2.6 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 3% | 1% | 1% | 96% | -0.2 | +3.2 | -4.4 | +1.3 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -18.2 | +24.3 | -1.4 | -4.7 |