Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/17 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +49.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -4.2 | +4.5 | -0.9 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 22% | 28% | 24% | 26% | +3.0 | -9.5 | +0.5 | +6.1 |
| East 3 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 21% | 24% | 30% | -6.5 | -4.7 | -14.5 | +25.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 18% | 15% | 14% | 53% | -4.3 | +7.0 | +0.1 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 15% | 19% | 14% | 51% | +19.6 | -2.0 | -13.3 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 28% | 18% | 8% | 46% | -4.6 | -2.0 | +5.5 | +1.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 24% | 17% | 11% | 48% | +4.5 | -4.1 | +12.5 | -12.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 30% | 17% | 18% | 36% | -2.7 | -8.0 | -5.7 | +16.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 23% | 11% | 11% | 55% | +49.2 | -26.8 | -1.4 | -21.0 |