Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/17 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+56.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +22.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 26% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -4.2 | +22.9 | -20.8 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 7,800 | 20% | 42% | 13% | 25% | -6.3 | +20.7 | -7.2 | -7.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 14% | 59% | 9% | 18% | +27.2 | -23.9 | -2.6 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 36% | 36% | 9% | 19% | +1.4 | +1.6 | -3.0 | 0.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 37% | 38% | 7% | 19% | -5.6 | +3.8 | -2.5 | +4.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 31% | 41% | 6% | 21% | -4.9 | +8.6 | +2.6 | -6.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 52% | 7% | 15% | -17.9 | +18.3 | -1.2 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 77% | 5% | 11% | -11.4 | -11.0 | +35.0 | -12.5 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,700 | 5% | 69% | 17% | 10% | -8.0 | +6.0 | -5.4 | +7.4 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,500 | 3% | 81% | 5% | 11% | -12.3 | +10.3 | +8.6 | -6.6 |