Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/17 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+56.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +23.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 24% | 25% | 27% | 25% | -0.5 | +23.3 | -21.4 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 41% | 14% | 24% | -7.2 | +19.8 | -6.0 | -6.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 14% | 60% | 10% | 16% | +26.6 | -22.9 | -5.3 | +1.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 37% | 9% | 20% | +1.4 | +1.7 | -3.2 | +0.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 38% | 6% | 19% | -5.6 | +4.1 | -1.7 | +3.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 43% | 6% | 20% | -1.9 | +6.2 | +1.5 | -5.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 29% | 51% | 5% | 15% | -20.4 | +19.9 | -1.1 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 76% | 4% | 12% | -11.0 | -11.1 | +35.4 | -13.3 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700 | 7% | 67% | 16% | 10% | -9.4 | +5.4 | -4.7 | +8.7 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,500 | 3% | 80% | 5% | 12% | -11.9 | +11.0 | +8.3 | -7.4 |