Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/18 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+74.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +43.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -11.9 | -3.7 | +20.9 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000 | 16% | 21% | 40% | 22% | -14.0 | +43.9 | -16.2 | -13.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 57% | 23% | 12% | -1.7 | -1.4 | +3.8 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 8% | 55% | 25% | 12% | -2.0 | +11.1 | -7.1 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 5% | 70% | 16% | 10% | -1.6 | +2.3 | -3.3 | +2.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 71% | 15% | 9% | +19.3 | -0.2 | -5.6 | -13.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 10% | 74% | 12% | 4% | -4.0 | +1.5 | -1.0 | +3.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 6,000 | 6% | 78% | 11% | 5% | -5.7 | +14.2 | -7.5 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Maruyama Kanako | 1% | 92% | 4% | 3% | +2.7 | +6.2 | -10.3 | +1.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,600 from Maruyama Kanako | 1% | 96% | 1% | 2% | +2.6 | -0.2 | -12.7 | +10.3 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,300 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 97% | 1% | 1% | +5.2 | +2.2 | -4.7 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -4.4 | -1.5 | +4.9 | +1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 6,400 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | +19.4 | +0.8 | +11.0 | -31.1 |