Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

10/20 Game 2

Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +33.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Yu Suzuki● Saki Kurosawa● Taro Suzuki● Mari Takamiya0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Yu● Saki● Taro● Mari
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSaki Kurosawa
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Mari Takamiya
1st-place chance
Saki Kurosawa
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Mari Takamiya
Expected pt change
East 1Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,00024%25%25%25%-17.0-8.5+33.1-7.6
East 2Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki13%17%51%19%-0.6-22.1-2.0+24.7
East 3Yu Suzuki ron 5,800 from Mari Takamiya11%7%48%34%-0.6+0.7+15.4-15.5
East 3, 1 honbaYu Suzuki ron 5,800 from Saki Kurosawa9%6%65%19%-14.4+1.5+13.6-0.7
East 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw3%4%78%15%-2.3+5.6-4.0+0.7
East 4, 3 honbaTaro Suzuki tsumo 5,2003%6%75%17%-6.1+19.1+0.8-13.8
South 1Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa3%11%80%7%-12.3-0.4+12.4+0.3
South 2Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki0%5%92%4%+15.2-20.7+2.9+2.6
South 3Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki0%0%98%2%+11.2-14.6-1.0+4.4
South 4Mari Takamiya tsumo 18,0000%0%98%2%-8.7-10.7-13.9+33.3
South 4, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki tsumo 8,0000%0%79%21%-17.1+23.7+7.1-13.7

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)