Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/21 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+77.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hori Shingo ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +21.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -6.5 | +0.1 | -1.2 | +7.6 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki | 21% | 24% | 24% | 30% | -20.7 | +21.0 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 39% | 23% | 28% | +4.1 | +3.9 | -3.4 | -4.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 5,800 from Shiratori Sho | 12% | 42% | 20% | 26% | -0.1 | +17.5 | -0.6 | -16.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo ron 5,800 from Shiratori Sho | 9% | 59% | 18% | 14% | +0.7 | +14.7 | -1.2 | -14.2 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 7% | 73% | 13% | 7% | -1.1 | -2.3 | +13.8 | -10.4 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 71% | 19% | 4% | -2.6 | +17.7 | -11.4 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 90% | 6% | 2% | -5.8 | -2.0 | -4.4 | +12.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 88% | 6% | 3% | -1.1 | +5.3 | +0.3 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 1% | 94% | 3% | 1% | -19.6 | +11.9 | +2.6 | +5.1 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 0% | 98% | 2% | 0% | -1.3 | -1.2 | -18.7 | +21.2 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -2.8 | -0.2 | -2.1 | +5.1 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +5.2 | -7.3 | -0.4 | +2.5 |