Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/21 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+77.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Shingo Hori ron 7,700 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +19.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -5.1 | +0.8 | 0.0 | +4.3 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 7,700 from Aki Nikaido | 22% | 26% | 25% | 28% | -20.1 | +19.9 | -2.5 | +2.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 39% | 21% | 29% | +2.0 | +4.4 | -3.2 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 5,800 from Sho Shiratori | 12% | 43% | 19% | 26% | +0.3 | +16.1 | +1.5 | -17.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Shingo Hori ron 5,800 from Sho Shiratori | 10% | 59% | 17% | 14% | -0.9 | +14.5 | +0.6 | -14.2 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 8% | 72% | 14% | 6% | +1.1 | -1.3 | +12.0 | -11.8 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 70% | 20% | 3% | -3.3 | +17.1 | -11.9 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 89% | 6% | 2% | -4.1 | -3.0 | -3.2 | +10.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 87% | 7% | 3% | -3.2 | +5.4 | -0.1 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 2% | 92% | 4% | 1% | -19.2 | +12.3 | +2.4 | +4.4 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -2.1 | -0.1 | -18.7 | +20.8 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -2.8 | -0.5 | -2.7 | +5.9 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +6.0 | -7.4 | -0.3 | +1.8 |