Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/21 Game 2
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +34.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 28% | 23% | 23% | 26% | -12.9 | +9.9 | +1.0 | +2.0 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 18% | 31% | 24% | 27% | +8.3 | 0.0 | -3.4 | -4.8 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 30% | 24% | 23% | -9.9 | -10.8 | -18.8 | +39.6 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 18% | 11% | 58% | +10.2 | -2.8 | -3.3 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 19% | 17% | 9% | 55% | -0.2 | +32.0 | -2.3 | -29.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 18% | 47% | 9% | 25% | +9.4 | -1.3 | -3.4 | -4.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 46% | 8% | 21% | -10.0 | +34.1 | -15.5 | -8.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 93% | 0% | 5% | +5.5 | +6.0 | -2.5 | -9.0 |