Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/21 Game 2
Takaya Matsugase finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaya Matsugase's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -9.5 | +7.8 | +1.7 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 18% | 32% | 24% | 26% | +6.6 | -2.0 | -4.1 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 29% | 22% | 26% | -10.1 | -10.3 | -17.1 | +37.4 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 18% | 10% | 59% | +10.7 | -1.8 | -4.7 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 20% | 17% | 9% | 54% | -2.0 | +31.9 | -0.9 | -28.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 48% | 9% | 25% | +8.6 | -1.9 | -4.2 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 47% | 8% | 23% | -8.7 | +33.3 | -15.6 | -9.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 91% | 0% | 7% | +6.5 | +7.0 | -2.4 | -11.2 |