Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/24 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+69.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +24.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Shibukawa Namba | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -5.4 | 0.0 | +16.4 | -11.0 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Shibukawa Namba | 23% | 24% | 37% | 17% | -0.1 | -4.6 | +16.8 | -12.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 18% | 52% | 11% | -2.8 | +3.4 | -3.5 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 19% | 21% | 49% | 12% | -2.0 | -1.5 | +14.9 | -11.4 |
| South 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 13% | 15% | 66% | 5% | +5.4 | -6.6 | +0.5 | +0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Nakabayashi Kei | 16% | 13% | 66% | 5% | -9.5 | +8.8 | +3.3 | -2.5 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 15% | 73% | 5% | -2.4 | -16.8 | +24.4 | -5.1 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 0% | 98% | 1% | -12.4 | +26.7 | -7.5 | -6.8 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 2% | 97% | 1% | +2.8 | +1.4 | +3.9 | -8.0 |