Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/25 Game 1
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+71.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nikaido Rumi ron 18,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +45.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 18,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 24% | 24% | 26% | 27% | +45.3 | -2.4 | -1.9 | -41.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,700 | 61% | 16% | 17% | 6% | -4.4 | -0.8 | +7.0 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Rumi ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 56% | 17% | 21% | 6% | +13.4 | -1.3 | -11.0 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 71% | 12% | 13% | 4% | -0.3 | +6.9 | -4.9 | -1.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,500 | 72% | 15% | 9% | 4% | +0.3 | -5.8 | -1.6 | +7.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 75% | 12% | 9% | 5% | -0.2 | +12.0 | +0.5 | -12.3 |
| South 1 | Maruyama Kanako ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 74% | 16% | 8% | 2% | -1.1 | +13.7 | -14.2 | +1.6 |
| South 2 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 12,000 | 71% | 24% | 4% | 1% | -19.8 | +30.8 | -5.2 | -5.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 33% | 65% | 2% | 0% | +12.8 | -6.7 | -8.0 | +1.9 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 48% | 50% | 1% | 1% | -6.9 | +7.0 | -0.7 | +0.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 34% | 65% | 0% | 1% | -5.8 | +5.6 | -3.2 | +3.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 76% | 0% | 1% | +38.9 | -31.7 | +5.5 | -12.7 |