Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/25 Game 1
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+71.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Rumi Nikaido ron 18,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +43.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 18,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +43.2 | -3.7 | -1.2 | -38.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,700 | 59% | 17% | 18% | 5% | -3.5 | -0.4 | +8.1 | -4.2 |
| East 2 | Rumi Nikaido ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 55% | 18% | 23% | 4% | +14.1 | -2.4 | -12.6 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 71% | 12% | 13% | 4% | +0.2 | +5.1 | -4.5 | -0.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,500 | 73% | 13% | 9% | 4% | -0.5 | -4.4 | -1.1 | +5.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 74% | 12% | 10% | 4% | +1.2 | +13.0 | -2.6 | -11.6 |
| South 1 | Kanako Maruyama ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 75% | 16% | 7% | 2% | -1.9 | +13.5 | -12.2 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 12,000 | 71% | 24% | 4% | 1% | -19.7 | +30.4 | -5.5 | -5.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 33% | 64% | 2% | 1% | +13.0 | -6.1 | -8.4 | +1.6 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 49% | 50% | 0% | 1% | -7.1 | +6.5 | -0.1 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 65% | 0% | 1% | -6.2 | +6.4 | -2.8 | +2.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 77% | 0% | 1% | +39.2 | -32.4 | +5.4 | -12.3 |