Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/25 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+77.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 9,600 from Uotani Yuumi, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +48.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +9.3 | -1.6 | -2.4 | -5.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 23% | 24% | 23% | +3.6 | -3.9 | -3.5 | +3.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 34% | 21% | 20% | 25% | -4.3 | -3.8 | +4.5 | +3.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 31% | 19% | 24% | 27% | -0.5 | -2.8 | +4.7 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 30% | 17% | 27% | 27% | -0.5 | +15.5 | -14.2 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,500 from Sonoda Ken | 29% | 27% | 17% | 27% | -0.8 | -0.6 | -3.2 | +4.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 28% | 26% | 16% | 30% | +14.0 | +1.6 | -0.8 | -14.7 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken | 42% | 27% | 15% | 17% | +15.6 | -1.9 | -14.9 | +1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 56% | 21% | 7% | 16% | -3.9 | -2.4 | +8.0 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 54% | 20% | 10% | 16% | -9.2 | +10.4 | +0.6 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 45% | 28% | 11% | 16% | +18.6 | -15.7 | -2.3 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 69% | 10% | 8% | 13% | -30.6 | +42.0 | -8.3 | -3.1 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 9,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 21% | 65% | 2% | 12% | -42.4 | -7.0 | +1.4 | +48.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 7,800 | 2% | 46% | 1% | 51% | -4.2 | -18.9 | -2.7 | +25.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 7% | 0% | 93% | +6.0 | -27.6 | +6.0 | +15.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.0 | -6.1 | -2.6 | +9.7 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -17.6 | +23.1 | +2.1 | -7.6 |