Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/25 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+77.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 9,600 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +46.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +11.7 | -4.0 | -2.8 | -5.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 22% | 23% | 23% | +0.4 | -0.2 | -3.0 | +2.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 23% | 20% | 24% | -4.8 | -5.4 | +3.5 | +6.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 20% | 22% | 30% | 0.0 | -5.5 | +8.6 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 29% | 15% | 29% | 27% | +0.2 | +17.9 | -17.5 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,500 from Ken Sonoda | 30% | 26% | 17% | 27% | -3.0 | +0.8 | -2.5 | +4.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 27% | 27% | 17% | 30% | +15.1 | +0.3 | -0.6 | -14.8 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,800 from Ken Sonoda | 40% | 27% | 15% | 19% | +18.0 | -2.4 | -16.1 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 58% | 20% | 7% | 16% | -4.9 | -2.1 | +9.3 | -2.3 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 55% | 20% | 10% | 15% | -9.5 | +10.1 | +1.1 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 44% | 29% | 11% | 15% | +17.5 | -15.2 | -3.2 | +0.8 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 68% | 11% | 8% | 13% | -30.1 | +41.1 | -8.2 | -2.7 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 9,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 20% | 64% | 3% | 13% | -42.4 | -5.9 | +1.8 | +46.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 48% | 1% | 49% | -3.4 | -19.2 | -3.8 | +26.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 7% | 0% | 93% | +6.2 | -28.0 | +6.6 | +15.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.5 | -5.0 | -1.6 | +10.1 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -15.5 | +22.0 | +1.4 | -7.8 |