Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/27 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Okada Sayaka ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +42.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -8.3 | -2.1 | +13.1 | -2.7 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,300 from Takamiya Mari | 19% | 22% | 34% | 25% | +0.7 | -3.1 | +8.6 | -6.2 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari | 18% | 20% | 42% | 20% | -0.5 | -1.4 | +42.9 | -41.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 8% | 81% | 2% | -2.0 | -0.4 | +1.2 | +1.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 3,900 | 7% | 9% | 82% | 2% | -5.2 | -2.3 | +9.1 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 5% | 90% | 1% | -5.2 | -10.5 | -8.4 | +24.1 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 4% | 4% | 86% | 5% | -2.4 | -5.3 | -0.6 | +8.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 4% | 86% | 7% | +0.2 | +4.0 | +0.5 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 4% | 3% | 88% | 4% | -24.3 | +23.1 | +1.5 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 6% | 91% | 3% | -4.1 | +18.9 | -7.7 | -7.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 0% | 17% | 79% | 3% | -0.1 | -8.3 | +8.5 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka | 0% | 5% | 93% | 2% | +1.8 | +0.5 | -2.4 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 3% | 96% | 2% | -5.8 | +2.8 | +2.3 | +0.8 |