Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/27 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +54.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Arisa Date ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 27% | 24% | 23% | 26% | -24.4 | +22.3 | +2.6 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,700 | 11% | 41% | 24% | 24% | -2.8 | -6.5 | -5.0 | +14.3 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 11% | 33% | 21% | 35% | +4.9 | +3.9 | -8.6 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 38% | 16% | 35% | -6.4 | -4.8 | +26.8 | -15.6 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000 | 11% | 34% | 33% | 22% | +54.9 | -20.3 | -18.1 | -16.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 49% | 17% | 20% | 14% | +1.7 | +1.3 | +8.7 | -11.6 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,200 | 52% | 17% | 23% | 8% | +0.5 | -13.2 | +17.8 | -5.2 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,100 | 53% | 6% | 35% | 6% | -5.5 | -1.9 | +8.0 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 5% | 47% | 5% | -1.0 | +1.1 | +1.2 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 40% | 6% | 48% | 6% | -3.0 | +4.4 | -0.8 | -0.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 9% | 49% | 6% | +33.0 | -1.9 | -19.1 | -12.0 |