Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/27 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +57.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -20.4 | +18.7 | +0.5 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,700 | 12% | 38% | 24% | 25% | -4.4 | -2.9 | -4.4 | +11.6 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 10% | 36% | 21% | 33% | +4.3 | +3.1 | -10.3 | +2.9 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 40% | 13% | 35% | -6.3 | -4.9 | +28.0 | -16.7 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000 | 9% | 34% | 34% | 24% | +57.0 | -19.0 | -19.1 | -18.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 51% | 20% | 17% | 12% | +1.6 | -2.3 | +10.1 | -9.4 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 5,200 | 55% | 16% | 22% | 8% | -3.3 | -11.7 | +18.3 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,100 | 48% | 7% | 37% | 7% | -3.8 | -2.3 | +8.5 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 40% | 6% | 48% | 6% | -0.1 | +1.1 | +0.4 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 41% | 6% | 49% | 5% | -3.5 | +4.6 | -0.5 | -0.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 35% | 9% | 50% | 6% | +33.5 | -1.5 | -19.9 | -12.1 |