Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/28 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +49.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -3.0 | -3.1 | -1.5 | +7.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 21% | 23% | 24% | 32% | +24.6 | -1.9 | -17.6 | -5.1 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 20% | 15% | 25% | -3.4 | +23.3 | -15.0 | -4.9 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 18,000 | 36% | 38% | 6% | 20% | -19.8 | -19.5 | -10.4 | +49.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 15% | 3% | 67% | -4.4 | +12.8 | -2.9 | -5.4 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 13% | 23% | 3% | 61% | -3.4 | +17.7 | -0.7 | -13.6 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 9% | 45% | 3% | 43% | -16.2 | +2.6 | +10.3 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 2% | 49% | 4% | 45% | +2.3 | -9.7 | -13.9 | +21.4 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 19% | 0% | 81% | -1.1 | -5.9 | -1.6 | +8.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 92% | +3.7 | -2.8 | -1.8 | +0.9 |