Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/31 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+63.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -4.4 | +2.2 | +10.7 | -8.5 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 22% | 26% | 32% | 21% | +11.4 | -13.4 | +1.4 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 17% | 32% | 21% | -3.7 | -7.2 | -12.3 | +23.1 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 27% | 12% | 23% | 38% | +15.0 | +0.2 | -0.3 | -14.9 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 41% | 13% | 22% | 24% | -8.8 | -4.4 | +17.1 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 11% | 37% | 21% | +32.2 | -15.0 | -10.6 | -6.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 71% | 1% | 17% | 11% | +2.8 | -2.0 | -5.8 | +5.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 78% | 1% | 7% | 14% | -4.7 | -2.7 | +3.9 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 70% | 1% | 12% | 17% | +3.3 | -3.1 | -9.9 | +9.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 74% | 0% | 7% | 19% | +18.6 | -4.1 | -10.2 | -4.3 |