Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/31 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+63.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 24% | 23% | 27% | 26% | 0.0 | +3.2 | +9.0 | -12.2 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 24% | 25% | 32% | 19% | +8.7 | -11.4 | +1.9 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 18% | 34% | 19% | -2.1 | -7.6 | -13.7 | +23.4 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 29% | 13% | 23% | 35% | +12.8 | +1.2 | +0.7 | -14.7 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 39% | 14% | 23% | 24% | -5.3 | -7.1 | +14.5 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 11% | 33% | 22% | +28.8 | -14.3 | -8.7 | -5.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 70% | 2% | 16% | 13% | +3.7 | -2.4 | -4.2 | +2.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 79% | 0% | 7% | 13% | -4.3 | -2.0 | +1.0 | +5.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 72% | 0% | 11% | 17% | +3.0 | -3.1 | -8.6 | +8.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 75% | 0% | 7% | 18% | +18.2 | -4.1 | -9.8 | -4.3 |