Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/1 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+85.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Aiko Hinata tsumo 36,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +78.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -12.9 | +18.1 | -4.1 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 16% | 38% | 22% | 24% | -1.5 | -9.8 | +1.6 | +9.6 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 36,000 | 16% | 29% | 24% | 31% | -22.9 | -31.1 | +78.9 | -24.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 2% | 91% | 5% | -6.3 | +19.3 | -4.7 | -8.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 6% | 90% | 3% | +1.3 | +2.2 | +2.7 | -6.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 4% | 93% | 1% | -7.0 | +11.2 | -0.8 | -3.4 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 6% | 93% | 1% | -7.5 | -1.9 | +2.3 | +7.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | +2.6 | +0.1 | -1.5 | -1.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -5.7 | -0.2 | +11.1 | -5.3 |