Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/1 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+85.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hinata Aiko tsumo 36,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +80.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -11.2 | +16.8 | -2.9 | -2.7 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 18% | 36% | 23% | 23% | -5.0 | -8.4 | +0.9 | +12.5 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 36,000 | 15% | 28% | 24% | 33% | -20.6 | -30.8 | +80.2 | -28.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 2% | 92% | 4% | -7.7 | +19.5 | -6.3 | -5.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 1% | 6% | 90% | 4% | +3.6 | +2.6 | +2.8 | -9.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 5% | 93% | 1% | -9.1 | +10.4 | -0.9 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 6% | 92% | 1% | -7.1 | -1.5 | +2.0 | +6.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 2% | 98% | 1% | +2.3 | -0.5 | -0.6 | -1.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -5.3 | +0.1 | +10.9 | -5.7 |