Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/1 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+83.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -7.3 | +1.6 | +5.5 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 25% | 29% | 26% | +4.7 | +2.4 | -5.0 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 27% | 26% | 25% | -10.1 | +36.7 | -11.2 | -15.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 14% | 57% | 15% | 14% | -26.9 | -4.2 | +32.0 | -0.9 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 50% | 34% | 11% | +14.9 | -1.0 | -9.5 | -4.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 9% | 53% | 28% | 11% | +3.8 | +4.8 | -2.5 | -6.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 59% | 24% | 7% | -12.0 | +19.9 | -4.3 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 1% | 84% | 12% | 3% | +1.6 | +5.3 | -7.9 | +1.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 1% | 90% | 7% | 3% | +1.8 | +6.2 | -9.4 | +1.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 94% | 3% | 2% | -27.6 | -1.6 | -2.4 | +31.5 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 93% | 2% | 5% | -2.2 | +5.5 | -6.5 | +3.1 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -0.4 | +9.6 | -0.8 | -8.4 |