Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/1 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+83.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +34.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -6.2 | -0.7 | +5.7 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 25% | 28% | 27% | +2.8 | +4.6 | -2.1 | -5.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 29% | 27% | 23% | -9.7 | +34.1 | -10.9 | -13.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 13% | 56% | 18% | 13% | -27.6 | -3.9 | +30.6 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 49% | 35% | 12% | +15.0 | +0.9 | -10.7 | -5.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 55% | 27% | 11% | +4.7 | +4.2 | -2.8 | -6.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 60% | 24% | 7% | -12.4 | +19.3 | -3.2 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 1% | 84% | 12% | 3% | +1.3 | +5.2 | -7.1 | +0.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 1% | 89% | 7% | 3% | +2.5 | +5.9 | -9.4 | +0.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 94% | 4% | 2% | -28.5 | -0.2 | -3.3 | +32.0 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 0% | 94% | 2% | 4% | -1.0 | +4.7 | -7.0 | +3.3 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -0.4 | +9.3 | -0.6 | -8.3 |