Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/3 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+70.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +24.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +4.1 | -6.7 | +5.4 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 28% | 21% | 28% | 23% | -23.0 | +1.2 | -2.4 | +24.2 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 21% | 25% | 40% | -6.1 | -11.1 | -4.5 | +21.8 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 9% | 11% | 19% | 61% | -1.1 | -6.0 | -1.4 | +8.5 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 2,600 from Hori Shingo | 6% | 8% | 15% | 72% | -5.9 | +4.4 | +0.5 | +1.0 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 4% | 8% | 13% | 74% | -4.9 | -0.5 | +1.1 | +4.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 7% | 11% | 81% | +2.5 | -8.0 | -1.4 | +6.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | -7.1 | +1.1 | -2.5 | +8.4 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,600 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -7.3 | -0.4 | +8.6 | -0.9 |