Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/3 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+70.9pt). The game was decided in East 2: Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +23.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 26% | 25% | +4.5 | -4.3 | +4.1 | -4.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 26% | 23% | 29% | 22% | -21.9 | -1.4 | +0.8 | +22.6 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 21% | 27% | 38% | -7.6 | -10.3 | -5.3 | +23.2 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 7% | 12% | 20% | 61% | +0.7 | -7.4 | -2.9 | +9.6 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori | 6% | 7% | 15% | 72% | -8.3 | +6.8 | +0.3 | +1.1 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 3% | 7% | 13% | 77% | -3.3 | -2.0 | +0.1 | +5.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 6% | 9% | 84% | +1.9 | -6.3 | -1.9 | +6.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 1% | 6% | 93% | -6.1 | -0.8 | -0.7 | +7.6 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,600 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -7.2 | +0.1 | +8.2 | -1.1 |