Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/4 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 24% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -1.0 | +20.4 | -20.4 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 40% | 12% | 25% | +22.9 | -15.3 | -3.1 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 3,900 | 42% | 26% | 12% | 21% | -4.9 | -4.3 | +11.7 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000 | 37% | 25% | 18% | 21% | -15.9 | -16.5 | +48.2 | -15.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 22% | 13% | 54% | 11% | -2.5 | +5.7 | -0.6 | -2.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 19% | 15% | 55% | 11% | -34.9 | +0.2 | -3.0 | +37.8 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 15% | 49% | 30% | -9.1 | -10.8 | -15.8 | +35.8 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Kayamori Sayaka | 3% | 8% | 24% | 66% | -4.6 | -1.1 | -2.0 | +7.7 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 6% | 20% | 73% | +0.7 | -5.7 | -3.2 | +8.2 |
| East 4, 7 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 3% | 14% | 81% | +17.0 | -7.7 | -3.0 | -6.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 4% | 3% | 14% | 79% | +4.8 | -2.1 | -1.2 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 4% | 15% | 78% | +4.5 | +0.6 | -3.0 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 4,800 from Shiratori Sho | 5% | 4% | 14% | 76% | +17.4 | -3.3 | -1.0 | -13.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 15% | 4% | 19% | 62% | -14.5 | +7.5 | +2.0 | +5.0 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 5% | 6% | 18% | 71% | +0.4 | -5.8 | +6.8 | -1.4 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 1% | 22% | 72% | +28.7 | -9.4 | -21.7 | +2.3 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 15% | 0% | 5% | 80% | -28.8 | -1.8 | +23.2 | +7.4 |