Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/7 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+132.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 4 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +42.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -18.6 | -8.5 | -7.7 | +34.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 11% | 18% | 17% | 54% | -1.8 | +5.0 | -0.9 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Shibukawa Namba | 11% | 20% | 18% | 52% | +10.7 | -11.8 | -2.9 | +3.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 14% | 16% | 56% | +6.7 | -5.3 | +5.3 | -6.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 9,600 from Shibukawa Namba | 20% | 12% | 20% | 49% | -1.6 | -23.1 | +26.9 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 17% | 4% | 36% | 43% | -0.6 | -0.6 | +0.4 | +0.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 3% | 36% | 45% | -8.1 | -7.7 | -15.2 | +30.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Draw | 7% | 2% | 14% | 77% | -3.8 | +4.5 | -0.2 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 1% | 13% | 80% | +34.8 | -9.2 | -13.3 | -12.2 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 1% | 11% | 64% | -19.8 | -3.1 | +26.8 | -4.0 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 11% | 1% | 28% | 61% | -5.4 | -12.5 | +26.0 | -8.1 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 0% | 57% | 39% | -5.8 | -4.4 | +26.2 | -16.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 90% | 10% | -1.1 | -0.5 | +3.6 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,500 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 0% | 92% | 8% | +0.4 | -3.6 | +5.8 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | +5.3 | -4.2 | 0.0 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,800 from Suzuki Yu | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -10.2 | +0.1 | -1.2 | +11.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 0% | 94% | 6% | +0.3 | 0.0 | -14.5 | +14.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 78% | 22% | +1.2 | -2.5 | -0.4 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 76% | 24% | -0.8 | -0.8 | -3.5 | +5.1 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 69% | 31% | -5.2 | -5.0 | -32.1 | +42.3 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +0.2 | -0.1 | -11.1 | +10.9 |
| South 4, 6 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.1 | -0.9 | -0.4 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 7 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -4.5 | -4.8 | -5.3 | +14.6 |
| South 4, 8 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4.6 | +4.5 |
| South 4, 9 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -5.1 | -4.8 | -4.6 | +14.5 |
| South 4, 10 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.1 | -4.7 | +6.8 | -2.0 |