Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/7 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+76.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +35.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Maruyama Kanako | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -11.1 | +1.6 | +8.6 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 1,100 | 19% | 25% | 31% | 25% | -2.3 | -3.7 | +4.9 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 22% | 36% | 25% | -6.6 | -9.3 | -19.6 | +35.5 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 12,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 11% | 14% | 17% | 58% | -30.4 | +1.4 | +35.8 | -6.9 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 12% | 43% | 43% | -7.3 | +7.9 | 0.0 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 13% | 44% | 43% | -2.9 | -17.1 | -13.8 | +33.7 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 87% | -2.3 | -1.6 | -9.7 | +13.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.4 | +2.6 | -4.3 | +1.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.9 | -5.9 | +8.3 | -1.5 |