Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/8 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+58.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +0.8 | -2.7 | +4.6 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 23% | 28% | 22% | +7.9 | -1.1 | -5.3 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 32% | 22% | 24% | 22% | +2.6 | +1.0 | +0.8 | -4.4 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 23% | 24% | 20% | -18.9 | -9.8 | -10.8 | +39.5 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 18% | 15% | 17% | 50% | -1.3 | -21.5 | +22.6 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 6% | 29% | 48% | +34.4 | -5.0 | -21.0 | -8.4 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 5% | 14% | 38% | -8.2 | -6.7 | +36.4 | -21.5 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,700 | 34% | 3% | 43% | 19% | -5.5 | +3.0 | +1.6 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 30% | 4% | 46% | 20% | +28.9 | -3.5 | -3.7 | -21.7 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 64% | 0% | 31% | 6% | +9.4 | -3.0 | -17.8 | +11.4 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 84% | 0% | 7% | 9% | +6.8 | -0.5 | +4.4 | -10.7 |