Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/8 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+58.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +0.5 | -4.0 | +8.4 | -4.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 23% | 29% | 23% | +9.5 | -2.3 | -5.3 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 22% | 26% | 21% | +0.9 | +4.5 | -3.0 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 23% | 24% | 20% | -20.9 | -9.8 | -9.0 | +39.7 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 16% | 16% | 16% | 51% | +3.3 | -21.6 | +20.0 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 8% | 27% | 48% | +32.1 | -7.5 | -17.9 | -6.7 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 5% | 15% | 39% | -7.3 | -6.3 | +33.8 | -20.1 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,700 | 35% | 4% | 41% | 21% | -4.5 | +2.8 | +1.9 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 30% | 4% | 44% | 22% | +30.0 | -2.8 | -4.5 | -22.7 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 67% | 0% | 27% | 6% | +6.1 | -3.3 | -15.1 | +12.3 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 82% | 0% | 8% | 10% | +8.3 | -0.6 | +4.2 | -11.9 |