Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/10 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+63.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +29.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -13.0 | -4.5 | +23.0 | -5.5 |
| East 2 | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 17% | 21% | 43% | 19% | +0.5 | -5.4 | +3.8 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 17% | 47% | 20% | -1.2 | -5.5 | +2.3 | +4.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 14% | 47% | 24% | +1.8 | -2.1 | +2.8 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Shiratori Sho | 16% | 13% | 50% | 21% | +11.3 | -3.7 | -3.9 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 12% | 48% | 19% | -11.9 | -10.0 | -12.1 | +34.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 14% | 7% | 34% | 45% | -0.2 | -12.2 | +14.8 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 4% | 46% | 38% | -21.4 | +27.2 | -1.9 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 4% | 12% | 47% | 37% | +14.7 | -20.4 | +3.7 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 2% | 53% | 38% | -7.9 | -5.7 | +29.5 | -15.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 90% | 10% | -13.8 | +21.0 | -5.0 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 1% | 90% | 9% | -6.1 | +0.5 | +6.5 | -0.9 |