Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/10 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+63.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -10.6 | -3.8 | +23.3 | -8.9 |
| East 2 | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 18% | 21% | 43% | 19% | -2.2 | -6.2 | +1.4 | +6.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 16% | 45% | 24% | -0.4 | -3.4 | +4.7 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 15% | 49% | 21% | +1.2 | -3.1 | +5.3 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Sho Shiratori | 15% | 12% | 54% | 19% | +13.0 | -4.4 | -8.7 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 12% | 45% | 21% | -13.6 | -9.3 | -11.1 | +33.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 14% | 8% | 32% | 47% | -0.5 | -12.7 | +17.3 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 3% | 49% | 37% | -20.0 | +26.7 | -3.8 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 4% | 11% | 46% | 38% | +14.5 | -20.3 | +3.7 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 2% | 52% | 38% | -7.6 | -5.0 | +28.8 | -16.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 88% | 11% | -13.4 | +20.3 | -4.1 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 1% | 90% | 9% | -6.8 | +0.7 | +6.6 | -0.6 |