Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/10 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Ken Sonoda ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +58.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -10.6 | +0.2 | +9.5 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,000 | 20% | 24% | 30% | 26% | +0.6 | -5.9 | -2.0 | +7.4 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 20% | 21% | 28% | 31% | +22.1 | +2.5 | -25.1 | +0.5 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 6,400 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 36% | 22% | 13% | 30% | +20.2 | -0.8 | -15.5 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 55% | 17% | 7% | 22% | -1.0 | -2.3 | +4.5 | -1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 57% | 15% | 7% | 21% | -60.5 | +58.1 | +1.9 | +0.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 77% | 5% | 16% | -0.1 | +5.4 | -1.8 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 82% | 4% | 12% | -4.0 | +3.8 | +4.8 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 87% | 4% | 8% | -6.8 | -12.1 | -7.8 | +26.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 71% | 4% | 25% | -2.7 | -3.8 | +4.1 | +2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 64% | 4% | 31% | +20.6 | +3.7 | -19.8 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 78% | 0% | 21% | +32.6 | +6.8 | -4.1 | -35.3 |