Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/10 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken ron 18,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +58.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -9.1 | -0.7 | +9.3 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 24% | 31% | 26% | -0.9 | -4.7 | -3.0 | +8.6 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 19% | 21% | 28% | 32% | +26.1 | -0.4 | -23.8 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 6,400 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 37% | 19% | 13% | 31% | +19.3 | +0.4 | -16.1 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 56% | 16% | 6% | 21% | -2.2 | -3.0 | +5.5 | -0.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 18,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 55% | 15% | 8% | 22% | -58.8 | +58.7 | +1.5 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 3% | 75% | 6% | 15% | -2.5 | +6.9 | -2.1 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 2% | 83% | 4% | 11% | -3.8 | +2.3 | +4.9 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 85% | 4% | 9% | -5.5 | -13.3 | -10.0 | +28.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 67% | 2% | 30% | -3.2 | -2.9 | +4.5 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 63% | 4% | 33% | +20.9 | +4.6 | -18.6 | -7.0 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 78% | 0% | 21% | +32.5 | +6.6 | -4.1 | -35.0 |