Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/11 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+93.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Mizuhara Akina ron 24,000 from Honda Tomohiro, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +47.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 24% | 23% | 27% | 26% | -4.6 | +23.9 | -19.1 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 19% | 41% | 15% | 25% | -1.6 | -1.1 | -20.3 | +23.0 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 16% | 36% | 6% | 41% | -2.5 | +0.6 | -4.1 | +6.0 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 24,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 14% | 37% | 4% | 46% | -3.0 | -11.4 | -33.5 | +47.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 8% | 0% | 89% | +3.2 | -1.6 | +0.1 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 1,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 3% | 7% | 0% | 90% | -4.0 | +3.3 | -1.4 | +2.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 6% | 0% | 94% | -2.9 | +0.7 | +0.6 | +1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 1,300 from Date Arisa | 0% | 6% | 0% | 94% | +5.1 | -6.0 | -0.3 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -2.2 | +2.7 | -1.4 | +1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.9 | -4.7 | -4.1 | +12.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 1,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.9 | +5.3 | -1.1 | -1.2 |