Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/11 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+93.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Akina Mizuhara ron 24,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +46.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Arisa Date ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -4.4 | +24.6 | -22.0 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 19% | 44% | 12% | 25% | -1.2 | -2.1 | -19.8 | +23.1 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 15% | 39% | 5% | 41% | -3.8 | 0.0 | -3.1 | +6.9 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 24,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 13% | 36% | 3% | 47% | -1.1 | -12.6 | -32.7 | +46.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 8% | 0% | 88% | +2.1 | -2.8 | +1.1 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Arisa Date ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 3% | 6% | 0% | 90% | -3.5 | +5.2 | -2.0 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 7% | 0% | 93% | -4.2 | +0.9 | +1.7 | +1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 1,300 from Arisa Date | 0% | 7% | 0% | 93% | +4.6 | -6.0 | -1.4 | +2.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -1.1 | +1.7 | -1.4 | +0.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.7 | -4.2 | -4.5 | +12.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Arisa Date ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.2 | +5.2 | -0.7 | -1.3 |