Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/11 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+77.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +45.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +45.6 | -13.3 | -14.6 | -17.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Kobayashi Go | 62% | 13% | 12% | 13% | +12.9 | -13.3 | -0.4 | +0.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 73% | 7% | 10% | 10% | -2.4 | -0.7 | +5.9 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 73% | 7% | 12% | 9% | -5.0 | -12.8 | +24.1 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 67% | 3% | 22% | 8% | +0.6 | -0.8 | +1.3 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 3,000 | 67% | 2% | 25% | 6% | -2.6 | -2.3 | +6.0 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 63% | 3% | 28% | 6% | -14.9 | -5.6 | +28.2 | -7.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 1% | 57% | 4% | +23.6 | -2.9 | -17.7 | -3.0 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 67% | 1% | 29% | 3% | -9.2 | -11.0 | -11.8 | +32.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 1% | 26% | 12% | -2.7 | -1.5 | -2.9 | +7.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 5,200 | 58% | 1% | 25% | 16% | +1.5 | +7.3 | 0.0 | -8.8 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 7,700 from Takizawa Kazunori | 64% | 1% | 25% | 10% | +15.7 | +1.5 | -0.5 | -16.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 80% | 1% | 17% | 3% | -0.4 | -2.3 | +2.7 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 81% | 0% | 16% | 3% | -2.0 | +6.5 | -1.1 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 80% | 1% | 16% | 3% | -3.1 | -14.3 | +15.9 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 71% | 0% | 27% | 2% | +9.1 | -0.6 | -19.8 | +11.3 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 93% | 0% | 4% | 3% | +10.9 | +0.5 | +1.1 | -12.6 |