Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/15 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +35.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -6.9 | -2.8 | -2.7 | +12.4 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 18% | 23% | 24% | 35% | -28.1 | -4.8 | +35.3 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 6% | 16% | 50% | 28% | -1.2 | -0.1 | -2.6 | +3.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 16% | 48% | 31% | -5.7 | +17.8 | -2.1 | -10.0 |
| South 1 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 4% | 26% | 47% | 23% | -3.3 | +27.7 | -4.7 | -19.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 56% | 34% | 9% | -2.2 | -1.1 | +5.9 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 9,600 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 55% | 38% | 7% | +0.2 | -34.4 | +34.4 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 4% | 92% | 4% | -6.0 | -8.4 | -6.5 | +21.0 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 0% | 1% | 89% | 9% | -0.4 | +13.1 | +3.1 | -15.8 |