Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/15 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 23% | -9.1 | -2.3 | -2.3 | +13.7 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 19% | 23% | 23% | 36% | -29.1 | -3.4 | +36.9 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 17% | 51% | 26% | -0.4 | -1.4 | -6.2 | +7.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 5,200 | 6% | 16% | 45% | 33% | -5.5 | +17.8 | -2.2 | -10.1 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 4% | 28% | 43% | 25% | -4.4 | +29.1 | -1.4 | -23.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 58% | 34% | 8% | -1.6 | -1.2 | +5.2 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 9,600 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 57% | 37% | 6% | -0.5 | -36.2 | +33.7 | +3.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 4% | 91% | 5% | -5.1 | -8.9 | -5.5 | +19.6 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 2% | 89% | 9% | -0.8 | +13.9 | +3.1 | -16.2 |