Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/15 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+71.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 3 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +38.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -0.9 | +7.3 | -7.8 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 9,600 | 24% | 30% | 20% | 26% | -9.8 | +23.7 | -6.6 | -7.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 49% | 16% | 20% | -1.8 | +8.8 | -2.8 | -4.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 58% | 13% | 15% | -5.1 | +13.6 | -3.8 | -4.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 10% | 70% | 9% | 11% | +1.7 | +20.9 | +1.6 | -24.1 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Draw | 5% | 88% | 5% | 3% | +0.3 | +0.6 | +0.1 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 4% | 90% | 4% | 2% | -1.7 | -8.1 | +13.3 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 4% | 84% | 9% | 3% | -4.4 | +6.6 | -1.3 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 3% | 90% | 5% | 2% | +5.0 | +0.4 | +0.7 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 3% | 92% | 5% | 1% | -4.3 | -4.0 | -0.1 | +8.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 93% | 5% | 1% | +8.8 | -1.3 | -3.8 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 9,600 | 1% | 95% | 4% | 1% | -11.5 | -8.2 | +26.6 | -6.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 5,800 from Nikaido Rumi | 1% | 84% | 14% | 1% | -0.4 | -2.5 | +10.4 | -7.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 77% | 22% | 1% | -5.5 | -27.8 | +38.4 | -5.0 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 19% | 81% | 0% | +5.8 | -10.2 | +4.9 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 5% | 95% | 0% | 0.0 | +1.9 | +1.7 | -3.6 |