Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/15 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+71.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 3 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +38.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -1.4 | +8.0 | -7.4 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 9,600 | 24% | 31% | 19% | 25% | -8.7 | +24.3 | -6.0 | -9.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 52% | 15% | 18% | -2.4 | +6.9 | -2.7 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 58% | 12% | 16% | -4.8 | +13.4 | -2.4 | -6.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 9% | 71% | 10% | 10% | +2.0 | +21.5 | -0.1 | -23.5 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 89% | 5% | 2% | +0.6 | +0.3 | -0.1 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 4% | 91% | 4% | 1% | -1.4 | -7.8 | +12.9 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 6% | 84% | 8% | 3% | -5.8 | +5.6 | -1.6 | +1.8 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 3% | 91% | 4% | 2% | +5.4 | +0.5 | +2.2 | -8.1 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 3% | 92% | 4% | 1% | -4.0 | -4.1 | +0.3 | +7.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 93% | 5% | 1% | +7.7 | -1.9 | -3.5 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 9,600 | 1% | 93% | 4% | 1% | -10.4 | -6.6 | +25.3 | -8.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,800 from Rumi Nikaido | 1% | 85% | 14% | 1% | -0.3 | -3.1 | +11.9 | -8.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 77% | 23% | 0% | -7.0 | -27.7 | +38.1 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 19% | 81% | 0% | +7.4 | -10.5 | +4.8 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 4% | 95% | 0% | -0.7 | +2.1 | +1.5 | -2.9 |