Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/17 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+68.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +34.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -10.9 | +20.5 | -3.6 | -6.0 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000 | 18% | 40% | 22% | 21% | -15.2 | +41.4 | -14.5 | -11.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 5% | 79% | 7% | 8% | +1.5 | -1.9 | -17.0 | +17.4 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 5% | 78% | 5% | 13% | +1.8 | +15.9 | -17.4 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 2% | 92% | 0% | 6% | +0.9 | -3.2 | -1.5 | +3.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 88% | 1% | 9% | +18.3 | +0.4 | -5.7 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 91% | 0% | 3% | +25.6 | -9.7 | -5.4 | -10.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 19% | 78% | 0% | 3% | -8.6 | +0.4 | -2.9 | +11.1 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 4,800 from Takizawa Kazunori | 12% | 83% | 0% | 5% | -1.2 | +9.7 | +1.3 | -9.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 6% | 92% | 0% | 2% | +4.6 | -13.0 | +9.3 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 83% | 1% | 3% | +34.5 | -21.5 | -9.2 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,800 from Shiratori Sho | 63% | 35% | 0% | 2% | +7.7 | -15.2 | -0.2 | +7.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 1,500 | 83% | 15% | 0% | 3% | +9.3 | -4.6 | +0.2 | -4.9 |