Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/17 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+68.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -12.8 | +23.1 | -4.6 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 17% | 41% | 21% | 22% | -12.2 | +39.4 | -14.9 | -12.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 6% | 78% | 7% | 9% | +1.1 | -0.4 | -18.7 | +18.0 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 5% | 78% | 4% | 14% | +0.4 | +15.5 | -15.8 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 90% | 0% | 7% | +2.2 | -1.5 | -3.2 | +2.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 89% | 0% | 8% | +17.9 | -1.7 | -4.5 | -11.6 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 90% | 0% | 4% | +25.9 | -10.1 | -6.5 | -9.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 76% | 0% | 4% | -8.0 | +1.0 | -1.8 | +8.9 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 4,800 from Kazunori Takizawa | 12% | 82% | 0% | 6% | -0.7 | +10.1 | -0.3 | -9.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 7% | 91% | 0% | 3% | +3.3 | -12.5 | +10.4 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 84% | 1% | 3% | +34.3 | -22.0 | -9.1 | -3.1 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,800 from Sho Shiratori | 63% | 35% | 0% | 2% | +8.1 | -15.1 | -0.1 | +7.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 82% | 14% | 0% | 3% | +9.3 | -4.5 | +0.2 | -5.1 |