Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/17 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+75.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +30.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -12.1 | -6.2 | -5.3 | +23.6 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 20% | 20% | 44% | +21.8 | -13.5 | -4.0 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 12% | 18% | 40% | -2.0 | -2.8 | +7.4 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 11% | 22% | 38% | -3.5 | -0.4 | +6.0 | -2.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 12% | 27% | 36% | +1.4 | -0.2 | -11.3 | +10.2 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,400 from Hisato Sasaki | 27% | 11% | 17% | 44% | -0.8 | -6.6 | -0.6 | +8.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 8% | 16% | 52% | -1.1 | -2.5 | +9.1 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 7% | 21% | 47% | -17.5 | +22.5 | -3.8 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 17% | 21% | 48% | -3.2 | -5.4 | -3.4 | +11.9 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 10% | 9% | 16% | 64% | +5.5 | +5.1 | -40.7 | +30.1 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.4 | -3.0 | -2.1 | +8.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -7.0 | +13.3 | -4.9 | -1.5 |