Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/17 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+75.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +29.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 27% | 26% | 24% | -13.3 | -4.7 | -5.6 | +23.6 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 22% | 21% | 42% | +24.2 | -14.1 | -4.0 | -6.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 31% | 14% | 19% | 37% | -1.4 | -3.9 | +5.7 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 29% | 12% | 21% | 37% | -2.3 | -1.0 | +7.6 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 27% | 11% | 28% | 34% | -0.9 | +0.2 | -13.0 | +13.7 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,400 from Sasaki Hisato | 26% | 10% | 18% | 45% | 0.0 | -6.6 | +1.0 | +5.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 8% | 16% | 49% | -1.0 | -2.9 | +8.5 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 7% | 22% | 47% | -19.1 | +24.0 | -3.0 | -2.0 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 18% | 23% | 47% | -2.5 | -6.8 | -4.9 | +14.2 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 9% | 9% | 16% | 66% | +5.5 | +5.0 | -39.9 | +29.4 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.2 | -2.7 | -1.9 | +7.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -6.8 | +13.5 | -5.4 | -1.2 |