Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/18 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +46.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -0.3 | +1.3 | -1.7 | +0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -5.1 | +8.6 | -0.9 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 30% | 24% | 25% | -14.9 | +46.4 | -17.8 | -13.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 8% | 72% | 10% | 11% | +4.4 | -4.0 | -2.5 | +2.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,300 from Tojyo Rio | 10% | 69% | 9% | 12% | -0.2 | +8.3 | -8.4 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 7% | 79% | 4% | 10% | +2.0 | -3.1 | -1.9 | +3.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 75% | 4% | 13% | +3.8 | +6.3 | -3.6 | -6.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 8% | 83% | 3% | 6% | -5.9 | -16.7 | +26.7 | -4.1 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 9% | 69% | 13% | 10% | +9.0 | -3.9 | -2.8 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 12% | 68% | 11% | 9% | -2.5 | +14.5 | -4.0 | -7.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 2% | 91% | 2% | 5% | +13.1 | +1.7 | -2.8 | -11.9 |