Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/18 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+79.5pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nikaido Aki ron 18,000 from Kondo Seiichi, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +39.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -11.7 | +23.3 | -8.6 | -3.0 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 18,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 16% | 43% | 20% | 21% | +0.4 | +39.1 | -0.6 | -38.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 78% | 10% | 3% | -2.2 | -4.7 | +8.9 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 16,000 | 8% | 76% | 14% | 3% | +35.9 | -8.0 | -22.0 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 64% | 5% | 3% | -9.5 | +23.8 | -2.4 | -11.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 9% | 89% | 1% | 0% | -1.8 | +1.7 | +0.5 | -0.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 94% | 2% | 0% | -1.0 | -1.2 | -1.0 | +3.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 2% | 96% | 1% | 0% | -5.7 | +8.8 | -2.8 | -0.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -1.3 | -0.9 | -1.0 | +3.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -1.1 | -0.4 | -1.0 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -19.8 | -2.5 | +31.9 | -9.6 |