Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/22 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+53.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Sayaka Okada | 27% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -5.7 | +0.4 | +1.3 | +4.0 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 3,900 from Rumi Nikaido | 21% | 26% | 24% | 29% | +12.3 | -1.1 | -11.0 | -0.2 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 30% | 24% | 18% | 28% | +33.3 | -0.9 | -29.5 | -2.8 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 60% | 16% | 4% | 19% | -0.2 | -5.0 | +19.0 | -13.8 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 5,200 | 65% | 15% | 8% | 13% | -11.8 | +20.3 | -4.5 | -4.0 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 50% | 29% | 8% | 12% | +0.3 | -4.1 | -5.2 | +8.9 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 53% | 24% | 7% | 16% | -14.9 | +35.1 | -13.9 | -6.4 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 18% | 73% | 0% | 8% | -7.9 | -8.0 | -4.7 | +20.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki | 17% | 63% | 0% | 20% | +4.0 | +17.5 | 0.0 | -21.5 |