Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/22 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+53.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -4.9 | +0.9 | +0.6 | +3.4 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 22% | 25% | 25% | 28% | +11.5 | -1.4 | -10.4 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 31% | 23% | 19% | 28% | +33.7 | -1.0 | -30.9 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 60% | 16% | 3% | 20% | -1.8 | -5.0 | +21.1 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 5,200 | 61% | 15% | 10% | 13% | -9.9 | +22.9 | -7.6 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,000 | 50% | 31% | 8% | 11% | +0.3 | -6.6 | -4.2 | +10.4 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 53% | 23% | 7% | 16% | -14.0 | +35.0 | -14.4 | -6.5 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 20% | 72% | 0% | 8% | -8.7 | -7.6 | -4.3 | +20.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 17% | 63% | 0% | 20% | +4.1 | +17.6 | -0.1 | -21.6 |