Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/22 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+76.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +32.9 | -10.1 | -13.6 | -9.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 49% | 17% | 16% | 17% | -2.9 | -2.1 | +16.7 | -11.6 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 47% | 15% | 25% | 12% | -5.4 | -19.8 | -9.4 | +34.6 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 41% | 8% | 19% | 32% | +0.3 | -6.3 | +10.1 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 41% | 5% | 25% | 28% | +11.4 | -9.5 | -2.1 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,200 | 52% | 3% | 20% | 25% | +14.8 | -1.7 | -5.1 | -7.9 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 70% | 2% | 13% | 16% | +21.6 | -4.7 | -7.4 | -9.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 91% | 1% | 4% | 4% | -1.4 | -1.7 | 0.0 | +3.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 91% | 1% | 4% | 4% | -1.5 | +3.2 | -3.7 | +2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 2,000 | 91% | 1% | 3% | 5% | -0.1 | -7.4 | +13.3 | -5.9 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,300 from Shingo Hori | 92% | 0% | 5% | 3% | +3.6 | -0.2 | -2.6 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +4.3 | -0.8 | +6.8 | -10.3 |