Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/22 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+76.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +30.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +30.4 | -10.4 | -10.2 | -9.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 48% | 17% | 17% | 18% | +0.5 | -0.1 | +13.2 | -13.6 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 16% | 24% | 11% | -6.0 | -20.5 | -9.5 | +36.0 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 43% | 7% | 18% | 33% | -1.3 | -7.7 | +10.9 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 41% | 5% | 24% | 30% | +11.5 | -7.9 | -2.2 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 52% | 3% | 20% | 26% | +15.9 | -1.6 | -3.7 | -10.5 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 72% | 2% | 13% | 13% | +21.6 | -5.6 | -8.7 | -7.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 91% | 1% | 4% | 5% | -2.7 | -1.4 | 0.0 | +4.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 91% | 1% | 3% | 5% | -1.7 | +3.2 | -2.0 | +0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,000 | 90% | 1% | 4% | 5% | +1.7 | -7.3 | +12.0 | -6.4 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Hori Shingo | 93% | 0% | 4% | 3% | +2.9 | -0.4 | -2.6 | +0.1 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +4.0 | -0.8 | +7.2 | -10.4 |