Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/24 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +35.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 7,700 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 27% | 25% | 25% | +20.6 | -3.4 | -19.3 | +2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 40% | 23% | 13% | 24% | -2.8 | +4.0 | -4.8 | +3.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 37% | 25% | 11% | 27% | +2.3 | -5.8 | -9.3 | +12.7 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 18,000 | 37% | 20% | 8% | 35% | -19.5 | -15.1 | +50.9 | -16.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 7,700 from Kobayashi Go | 24% | 14% | 37% | 26% | -21.5 | +0.5 | +20.1 | +0.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 11% | 56% | 23% | +22.6 | -4.8 | -11.1 | -6.7 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 12% | 45% | 20% | -7.6 | -5.0 | +25.9 | -13.3 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 6% | 75% | 7% | -23.1 | -7.2 | -5.0 | +35.4 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 5% | 68% | 25% | +21.0 | -15.7 | -1.7 | -3.6 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 0% | 68% | 23% | +17.4 | -3.7 | -2.6 | -11.1 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 3,000 | 15% | 0% | 69% | 16% | -9.1 | -1.1 | -3.4 | +13.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 0% | 65% | 21% | -7.9 | -2.0 | -22.7 | +32.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 0% | 18% | 76% | -2.4 | -1.2 | -7.8 | +11.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 2% | 0% | 5% | 93% | -4.9 | +0.3 | +2.6 | +2.1 |