Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/25 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+76.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +30.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Tojyo Rio | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +1.7 | -1.6 | -3.2 | +3.1 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 3,000 | 27% | 23% | 22% | 28% | -6.7 | +9.2 | +0.3 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 31% | 22% | 26% | -4.7 | +6.0 | -4.0 | +2.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 34% | 21% | 27% | -2.5 | +12.7 | -4.6 | -5.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 16% | 44% | 17% | 23% | -1.8 | -3.3 | +8.1 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 3,000 | 15% | 42% | 22% | 21% | -6.7 | -2.1 | +13.1 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 13% | 40% | 29% | 18% | -9.2 | +14.1 | -4.2 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 53% | 22% | 17% | -7.4 | -10.7 | +36.2 | -18.1 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 4% | 34% | 57% | 5% | -18.6 | +23.2 | -7.3 | +2.7 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 59% | 37% | 3% | -3.7 | -2.2 | +4.1 | +1.9 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 56% | 40% | 3% | -4.8 | -6.7 | +12.3 | -0.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 39% | 59% | 2% | -1.6 | +13.7 | -12.2 | +0.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 64% | 34% | 1% | -4.6 | -5.2 | -6.9 | +16.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 63% | 30% | 7% | +0.2 | +30.1 | -9.8 | -20.4 |