Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/28 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+62.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Shibukawa Namba tsumo 18,000, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +71.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | -3.4 | +6.6 | -3.1 | -0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 22% | 30% | 22% | 26% | +28.2 | -27.0 | +0.7 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 44% | 12% | 21% | 22% | +9.0 | -0.2 | -5.2 | -3.6 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 53% | 11% | 16% | 20% | +7.6 | -1.8 | +1.2 | -7.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 63% | 10% | 15% | 12% | +0.6 | +5.4 | -5.4 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 63% | 12% | 13% | 13% | -10.2 | -8.7 | +29.6 | -10.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 52% | 8% | 31% | 9% | -0.1 | -8.4 | +2.5 | +6.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 52% | 3% | 34% | 11% | +1.7 | -6.9 | -1.6 | +6.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 18,000 | 57% | 1% | 30% | 12% | -32.9 | -9.8 | -28.7 | +71.4 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Date Arisa | 3% | 0% | 1% | 96% | +7.7 | -1.0 | -7.4 | +0.6 |