Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/29 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+73.3pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +15.7 | -6.0 | -6.5 | -3.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 38% | 21% | 21% | 21% | -5.4 | +25.8 | -2.0 | -18.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 30% | 39% | 19% | 11% | -0.8 | -3.9 | +0.8 | +4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,500 from Kobayashi Go | 29% | 36% | 20% | 15% | +1.0 | -9.7 | +10.3 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 33% | 28% | 27% | 13% | +34.9 | -32.0 | -3.3 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,500 from Matsugase Takaya | 66% | 7% | 17% | 10% | +0.7 | +0.1 | -4.2 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 68% | 7% | 14% | 11% | -3.6 | +1.3 | -30.5 | +32.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 60% | 7% | 4% | 29% | -15.3 | -7.6 | -7.5 | +30.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000 | 34% | 4% | 2% | 60% | -17.0 | -9.4 | -7.1 | +33.5 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,500 from Kobayashi Go | 7% | 1% | 0% | 92% | -0.3 | -4.9 | +1.7 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Draw | 5% | 0% | 1% | 94% | -2.2 | -2.7 | +2.4 | +2.5 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,100 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 95% | -3.2 | +8.2 | -2.3 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 3% | 1% | 1% | 95% | +6.7 | -7.8 | +0.7 | +0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 95% | -12.3 | +23.5 | -9.7 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 0% | 98% | -11.6 | +22.5 | -5.7 | -5.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 95% | -0.3 | -3.4 | +1.8 | +1.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.0 | -1.4 | +3.8 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -9.3 | +22.6 | -10.0 | -3.3 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 2% | 0% | 98% | +30.0 | -28.9 | -0.4 | -0.6 |