Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/29 Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+65.5pt). The game was decided in East 3: Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +22.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 7,700 from Sho Shiratori | 27% | 23% | 24% | 26% | +18.4 | +0.1 | -1.1 | -17.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 3,000 | 39% | 23% | 24% | 15% | +9.0 | -1.6 | -3.3 | -4.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,000 | 47% | 20% | 20% | 12% | -5.4 | +8.6 | -2.1 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 5,200 | 42% | 27% | 19% | 12% | +0.1 | -9.0 | +14.7 | -5.7 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 42% | 20% | 28% | 10% | +22.0 | +1.9 | -23.3 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 67% | 16% | 10% | 7% | +12.6 | +0.7 | +1.1 | -14.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 80% | 10% | 7% | 3% | +2.8 | -4.3 | +2.5 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 83% | 9% | 7% | 2% | -9.1 | +12.5 | -1.2 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 75% | 15% | 7% | 3% | +3.5 | -12.6 | -6.8 | +15.9 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 85% | 4% | 5% | 5% | +0.8 | -1.0 | -20.6 | +20.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 92% | 1% | 0% | 7% | +0.8 | +2.0 | -6.2 | +3.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 91% | 1% | 0% | 9% | -12.1 | -16.6 | -5.1 | +33.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 71% | 0% | 0% | 29% | +20.6 | +0.6 | -0.5 | -20.7 |