Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
11/29 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+65.5pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +24.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 7,700 from Shiratori Sho | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +21.0 | -0.6 | -0.9 | -19.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,000 | 39% | 23% | 24% | 14% | +6.6 | -2.1 | -2.4 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,000 | 46% | 20% | 21% | 13% | -4.1 | +8.4 | -4.9 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 5,200 | 43% | 26% | 19% | 12% | -2.3 | -8.6 | +18.0 | -7.1 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 42% | 19% | 30% | 10% | +24.9 | +1.1 | -25.2 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 68% | 15% | 9% | 8% | +10.9 | +0.4 | +2.9 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 79% | 11% | 8% | 2% | +3.4 | -3.7 | +1.2 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 82% | 8% | 8% | 2% | -7.4 | +13.0 | -2.5 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 78% | 14% | 7% | 2% | +1.2 | -11.5 | -6.1 | +16.3 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 85% | 5% | 6% | 4% | +1.3 | -2.9 | -21.1 | +22.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 91% | 1% | 0% | 8% | +1.5 | +2.8 | -5.9 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 92% | 1% | 0% | 7% | -14.2 | -16.8 | -4.9 | +35.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 68% | 0% | 0% | 32% | +22.1 | +0.6 | -0.6 | -22.1 |