Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/1 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+50.4pt). The game was decided in South 2: Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +23.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 23% | 26% | 25% | 26% | -1.5 | +20.2 | -17.6 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 41% | 15% | 23% | -12.2 | +38.6 | -13.9 | -12.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 76% | 5% | 11% | -5.7 | -7.2 | -4.3 | +17.2 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 70% | 5% | 19% | -1.9 | -3.1 | +9.6 | -4.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 68% | 8% | 17% | -4.5 | -1.8 | +9.5 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 7% | 67% | 11% | 16% | +7.7 | +2.1 | -11.6 | +1.8 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,700 | 8% | 71% | 5% | 16% | -3.0 | +7.7 | -0.3 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Nikaido Aki | 5% | 80% | 4% | 11% | +17.3 | +0.1 | +1.0 | -18.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,000 | 10% | 80% | 5% | 5% | -4.2 | +3.0 | -6.3 | +7.5 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 4% | 87% | 3% | 6% | +23.8 | -19.2 | -3.3 | -1.2 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 23% | 64% | 4% | 8% | +5.5 | -16.8 | +12.6 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 37% | 43% | 9% | 11% | -3.5 | +20.7 | -0.3 | -16.9 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 7,700 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 20% | 75% | 1% | 4% | +13.4 | -30.6 | -9.5 | +26.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 54% | 29% | 3% | 14% | +20.8 | -7.1 | -4.4 | -9.4 |