Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/1 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+50.4pt). The game was decided in South 2: Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +24.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -2.6 | +20.8 | -19.8 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 41% | 14% | 24% | -13.5 | +37.9 | -10.2 | -14.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 77% | 5% | 9% | -5.6 | -6.4 | -7.3 | +19.3 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,000 | 6% | 71% | 5% | 18% | -1.2 | -3.9 | +10.6 | -5.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 68% | 7% | 18% | -5.3 | -2.5 | +8.4 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 6% | 66% | 10% | 17% | +6.1 | +2.1 | -9.4 | +1.2 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,700 | 7% | 69% | 6% | 18% | -0.5 | +9.1 | -1.6 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,800 from Aki Nikaido | 5% | 82% | 5% | 9% | +18.5 | +0.7 | -1.9 | -17.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,000 | 10% | 82% | 3% | 4% | -6.0 | +0.6 | -3.4 | +8.9 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 4% | 87% | 4% | 6% | +24.0 | -17.0 | -4.6 | -2.5 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,800 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 22% | 67% | 4% | 8% | +5.5 | -19.1 | +13.9 | -0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 37% | 42% | 9% | 11% | -4.3 | +21.3 | -0.6 | -16.4 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 7,700 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 19% | 74% | 2% | 5% | +13.9 | -30.8 | -10.1 | +27.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 54% | 28% | 2% | 16% | +21.2 | -6.5 | -3.7 | -11.0 |