Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/1 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+80.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +25.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -9.2 | -2.2 | +13.5 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 22% | 35% | 25% | -4.9 | -12.5 | +25.6 | -8.2 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 14% | 13% | 57% | 16% | +0.4 | -5.2 | -0.4 | +5.2 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 13% | 10% | 58% | 18% | -13.3 | -0.1 | +15.0 | -1.6 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 5% | 7% | 78% | 11% | -8.8 | +4.7 | +3.7 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 1% | 6% | 83% | 9% | -1.1 | -7.5 | +5.2 | +3.5 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 91% | 8% | -4.5 | -3.9 | +15.1 | -6.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -4.6 | -2.5 | -2.5 | +9.6 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -8.5 | +3.2 | +5.3 | 0.0 |