Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/1 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+80.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +25.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -8.2 | -2.7 | +13.2 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 22% | 35% | 24% | -6.7 | -10.2 | +25.0 | -8.1 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 13% | 14% | 57% | 17% | +0.2 | -4.0 | -0.7 | +4.5 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 12% | 11% | 59% | 18% | -13.2 | -1.7 | +16.1 | -1.2 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 5% | 7% | 77% | 11% | -8.5 | +4.9 | +3.0 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 1% | 7% | 83% | 10% | -0.1 | -8.5 | +6.8 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 93% | 6% | -4.8 | -3.9 | +14.2 | -5.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -5.0 | -2.7 | -2.6 | +10.2 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -8.2 | +3.4 | +5.0 | -0.2 |