Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/2 Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+86.4pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +26.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 7,700 from Rio Tojyo | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +18.6 | -0.7 | -18.0 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 22% | 14% | 25% | +26.7 | -10.8 | -7.9 | -8.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 64% | 12% | 8% | 15% | -0.7 | -16.3 | -0.8 | +17.8 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 63% | 7% | 7% | 23% | -6.2 | -15.9 | +27.6 | -5.4 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 57% | 3% | 18% | 22% | +21.7 | +1.0 | -22.3 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya | 81% | 1% | 4% | 14% | -6.1 | -3.9 | +12.7 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 7,700 from Tomohiro Honda | 78% | 2% | 8% | 13% | +13.6 | +1.5 | +1.8 | -16.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 91% | 1% | 4% | 3% | -2.2 | -2.7 | -1.7 | +6.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 90% | 1% | 4% | 5% | +0.6 | +10.4 | -2.8 | -8.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 92% | 1% | 4% | 4% | +17.1 | -13.1 | -2.5 | -1.5 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 4,000 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 1% | -0.4 | -3.5 | -9.1 | +13.0 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 1,000 from Rio Tojyo | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +1.1 | -1.7 | -3.0 | +3.6 |