Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/2 Game 2
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+86.4pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +28.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 7,700 from Tojyo Rio | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +20.0 | -0.9 | -19.9 | +0.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 23% | 14% | 25% | +28.5 | -9.5 | -8.4 | -10.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 65% | 13% | 9% | 13% | -0.8 | -20.8 | +0.9 | +20.7 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 5% | 7% | 23% | -4.7 | -14.2 | +24.5 | -5.5 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 60% | 3% | 15% | 22% | +19.2 | +1.6 | -20.7 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 81% | 1% | 4% | 15% | -7.4 | -4.3 | +14.6 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 7,700 from Honda Tomohiro | 76% | 2% | 9% | 14% | +14.2 | +1.6 | +1.1 | -16.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 90% | 1% | 5% | 5% | -0.6 | -2.6 | -2.4 | +5.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 91% | 1% | 4% | 4% | -0.2 | +10.4 | -0.5 | -9.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 92% | 1% | 4% | 3% | +17.6 | -12.1 | -4.8 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -0.4 | -4.7 | -9.1 | +14.2 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Tojyo Rio | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +1.1 | -1.5 | -3.1 | +3.5 |