Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/5 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+84.1pt). The game was decided in South 1: Okada Sayaka ron 24,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +56.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -12.3 | +21.3 | -5.0 | -4.0 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 40% | 21% | 22% | -7.3 | -16.9 | +33.7 | -9.5 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,500 | 12% | 24% | 48% | 16% | -3.1 | +8.5 | -3.6 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 31% | 44% | 15% | +28.2 | -8.1 | -6.1 | -14.0 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 24,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 28% | 25% | 37% | 10% | -61.9 | -0.4 | +56.4 | +5.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 5% | 94% | 2% | +1.9 | +3.5 | -2.0 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 6% | 92% | 2% | +10.6 | -5.8 | +1.3 | -6.1 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,400 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -3.4 | -0.8 | +2.4 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -2.9 | -1.9 | +6.6 | -1.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +3.3 | +0.9 | -1.6 | -2.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -2.9 | +1.9 | -1.3 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -5.1 | +1.7 | +4.0 | -0.6 |