Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/8 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+66.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +36.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 27% | 23% | 23% | 26% | -4.3 | +2.0 | +16.4 | -14.1 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 2,000 | 22% | 25% | 35% | 18% | -0.6 | -5.8 | +7.2 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 6,400 | 22% | 20% | 41% | 17% | +20.1 | -3.7 | -11.8 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 38% | 17% | 30% | 15% | +36.6 | -1.9 | -32.6 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 6,000 | 79% | 9% | 6% | 7% | +9.5 | -4.3 | -1.8 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 87% | 6% | 4% | 4% | -1.0 | -3.0 | +2.9 | +1.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 88% | 4% | 4% | 4% | +0.8 | -5.4 | +7.1 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 3,900 | 91% | 1% | 5% | 3% | -2.5 | -6.0 | +16.3 | -7.9 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Draw | 90% | 0% | 7% | 3% | -3.2 | +1.2 | +4.5 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 86% | 1% | 10% | 3% | +9.2 | -3.7 | -2.6 | -2.9 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 98% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -6.8 | -17.1 | -13.2 | +37.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 92% | 0% | 0% | 8% | +5.5 | -3.4 | -7.0 | +4.9 |