Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/8 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+66.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +36.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | 0.0 | -2.9 | +15.0 | -12.1 |
| East 2 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 23% | 36% | 18% | -1.1 | -4.1 | +5.3 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 6,400 | 22% | 21% | 40% | 18% | +20.3 | -3.5 | -10.3 | -6.5 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 40% | 17% | 30% | 14% | +36.4 | -2.6 | -33.1 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 6,000 | 78% | 9% | 7% | 7% | +9.9 | -4.1 | -1.8 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 87% | 5% | 4% | 4% | -1.6 | -4.2 | +2.2 | +3.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 88% | 4% | 4% | 4% | +1.6 | -3.3 | +6.4 | -4.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 3,900 | 92% | 0% | 4% | 3% | -3.2 | -7.5 | +18.4 | -7.7 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 89% | 1% | 8% | 2% | -2.1 | +1.8 | +2.8 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 87% | 1% | 9% | 3% | +7.7 | -3.1 | -2.2 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 97% | 0% | 1% | 2% | -6.1 | -17.4 | -12.5 | +36.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 92% | 0% | 0% | 7% | +5.5 | -3.2 | -7.4 | +5.1 |