Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/8 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+75.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +31.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | +31.1 | -9.6 | -10.2 | -11.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 50% | 18% | 16% | 17% | +26.1 | -9.6 | -7.2 | -9.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 73% | 10% | 9% | 8% | -9.0 | -2.2 | 0.0 | +11.2 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 66% | 9% | 10% | 14% | -2.6 | -12.0 | -5.0 | +19.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 62% | 4% | 8% | 25% | -3.4 | -3.1 | +2.8 | +3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 59% | 4% | 9% | 29% | +0.1 | -2.2 | -2.7 | +4.8 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 58% | 4% | 7% | 32% | +6.0 | -3.1 | +0.9 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 67% | 3% | 6% | 24% | +4.0 | +4.1 | -4.8 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 7,700 from Kurosawa Saki | 72% | 3% | 5% | 20% | +15.4 | +3.0 | -15.6 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 86% | 2% | 1% | 11% | -4.8 | -7.4 | +15.3 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,300 from Ooi Takaharu | 86% | 2% | 2% | 10% | +6.0 | -4.4 | +1.5 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 94% | 0% | 2% | 5% | +5.6 | -1.3 | -1.2 | -3.1 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +1.1 | -4.4 | +4.9 | -1.6 |