Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/8 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+75.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +28.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 22% | 26% | 25% | +28.4 | -8.8 | -9.8 | -9.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 17% | 19% | 18% | +26.4 | -6.7 | -10.9 | -8.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 71% | 10% | 9% | 10% | -7.1 | -1.4 | -2.0 | +10.4 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 67% | 10% | 8% | 15% | -3.3 | -11.7 | -4.2 | +19.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 63% | 5% | 7% | 25% | -2.6 | -2.9 | +2.5 | +3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 60% | 5% | 8% | 27% | +1.2 | -4.9 | -1.1 | +4.8 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 62% | 3% | 6% | 29% | +5.9 | -1.3 | -0.4 | -4.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 69% | 3% | 5% | 22% | +1.8 | +3.5 | -2.8 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 7,700 from Saki Kurosawa | 71% | 4% | 5% | 20% | +16.5 | +3.4 | -17.1 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 87% | 2% | 1% | 10% | -5.3 | -8.3 | +16.2 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,300 from Takaharu Ooi | 87% | 2% | 2% | 10% | +5.0 | -3.4 | +0.8 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 92% | 0% | 2% | 6% | +7.1 | -1.8 | -0.1 | -5.1 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +0.6 | -4.7 | +4.6 | -0.5 |