Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/9 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+49.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +38.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -9.2 | -2.4 | +11.8 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 22% | 34% | 24% | -7.0 | -16.3 | +34.3 | -11.0 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 6,400 from Takamiya Mari | 12% | 10% | 65% | 13% | 0.0 | +18.7 | -18.9 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 15% | 22% | 47% | 17% | +4.7 | -4.3 | -4.3 | +3.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 20% | 43% | 19% | +24.3 | -5.7 | -4.5 | -14.0 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 17% | 37% | 11% | -19.4 | -12.4 | -6.5 | +38.3 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 11% | 32% | 36% | -3.1 | -6.1 | -0.6 | +9.8 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 7% | 29% | 48% | -9.7 | +17.1 | -13.2 | +5.8 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 14% | 12% | 15% | 59% | -26.0 | +20.7 | -12.3 | +17.5 |