Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/9 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +38.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -3.0 | -18.8 | +21.8 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 14% | 39% | 26% | -3.1 | -7.0 | +5.9 | +4.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 19% | 10% | 45% | 27% | -0.6 | -0.8 | -6.4 | +7.9 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 20% | 9% | 38% | 33% | -28.4 | 0.0 | -3.9 | +32.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 6% | 27% | 63% | +1.7 | +3.8 | -0.9 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 6% | 7% | 27% | 60% | -20.8 | +20.1 | -2.1 | +2.8 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 1% | 13% | 23% | 64% | +0.1 | +35.1 | -30.9 | -4.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 41% | 6% | 53% | +4.3 | -2.6 | -2.9 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 38% | 5% | 56% | -4.4 | -7.2 | -4.0 | +15.6 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 16% | 0% | 84% | -2.6 | +38.4 | +1.0 | -36.8 |