Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/9 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -2.1 | -20.4 | +21.2 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 13% | 40% | 25% | -2.7 | -5.9 | +4.1 | +4.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 19% | 11% | 45% | 26% | +1.9 | -0.7 | -6.8 | +5.6 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 22% | 10% | 38% | 31% | -30.7 | +1.2 | -3.6 | +33.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 8% | 27% | 61% | +2.0 | +1.2 | -1.5 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 5% | 7% | 26% | 61% | -22.7 | +21.5 | -0.9 | +2.1 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 0% | 13% | 23% | 64% | +1.0 | +35.1 | -30.8 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 41% | 6% | 52% | +3.9 | -4.9 | -2.3 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 35% | 5% | 60% | -3.3 | -4.9 | -5.1 | +13.3 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 83% | -2.9 | +37.8 | +1.2 | -36.1 |