Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/12 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+55.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +47.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -14.3 | +22.9 | -3.6 | -4.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 42% | 21% | 21% | -1.8 | -1.7 | -5.3 | +8.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 40% | 17% | 27% | +5.5 | -1.0 | -3.6 | -0.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 18% | 40% | 15% | 27% | +1.1 | +10.7 | +0.9 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 19% | 51% | 15% | 15% | -6.3 | +3.0 | +27.4 | -24.1 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 53% | 31% | 6% | +47.3 | -25.5 | -13.9 | -7.9 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,800 from Kondo Seiichi | 57% | 20% | 19% | 4% | -5.2 | -4.3 | +18.1 | -8.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 47% | 19% | 32% | 2% | -1.8 | +6.7 | -2.8 | -2.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 40% | 28% | 30% | 2% | +29.1 | -20.7 | -4.7 | -3.7 |