Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/12 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+55.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +44.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -12.4 | +22.2 | -6.4 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 42% | 20% | 21% | -3.6 | -3.9 | -2.3 | +9.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 37% | 19% | 30% | +7.6 | +0.3 | -3.8 | -4.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 19% | 39% | 17% | 26% | -0.7 | +11.9 | -1.6 | -9.6 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 17% | 51% | 14% | 17% | -2.5 | +1.6 | +28.2 | -27.3 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 52% | 30% | 6% | +44.5 | -23.9 | -12.3 | -8.2 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,800 from Seiichi Kondo | 57% | 21% | 19% | 4% | -4.6 | -4.3 | +17.2 | -8.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 19% | 32% | 2% | -1.8 | +6.3 | -3.4 | -1.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 40% | 27% | 30% | 2% | +29.0 | -20.7 | -4.2 | -4.2 |