Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
12/12 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+55.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +6.8 | -1.3 | -4.6 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 29% | 25% | 22% | 25% | +8.9 | -3.7 | -0.9 | -4.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 35% | 21% | 22% | 22% | -2.8 | -0.1 | -13.2 | +16.0 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,900 from Suzuki Yu | 32% | 21% | 14% | 33% | -0.3 | +7.4 | +0.6 | -7.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,500 | 32% | 26% | 15% | 27% | -3.2 | +7.3 | -2.7 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 30% | 32% | 13% | 26% | +24.7 | -25.8 | +0.8 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 53% | 12% | 12% | 23% | -11.1 | -14.1 | +38.0 | -12.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 40% | 7% | 36% | 17% | +2.1 | 0.0 | -26.4 | +24.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 43% | 8% | 17% | 33% | -2.9 | -2.5 | +1.7 | +3.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 39% | 7% | 19% | 35% | 0.0 | -1.6 | +1.1 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 40% | 7% | 17% | 36% | -4.3 | -2.4 | -2.9 | +9.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 33% | 6% | 16% | 45% | -3.0 | +38.9 | -34.7 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 30% | 22% | 4% | 45% | +1.6 | -14.1 | -1.0 | +13.5 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 18,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 27% | 8% | 4% | 62% | -2.7 | -44.1 | +49.3 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 0% | 19% | 57% | -2.0 | +2.5 | -6.2 | +5.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 0% | 11% | 69% | +44.6 | -1.4 | -12.8 | -30.4 |